IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#299
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.6	#292
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.8	#321

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#233

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.9%	9.6%	4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.5	15.7

.500 or above	29.7%	48.8%	22.4%
.500 or above in Conference	54.4%	68.2%	49.1%
Conference Champion	6.8%	11.0%	5.2%
Last Place in Conference	6.9%	3.1%	8.3%

First Four	2.7%	3.4%	2.4%
First Round	4.7%	7.9%	3.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 27.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	11 - 9	12 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2019	242	@ Tulane	L	67-73	28%
Nov 13, 2019	269	Grambling St.	W	69-68	54%
Nov 20, 2019	100	@ Tulsa	L	60-75	9%
Nov 23, 2019	211	@ Austin Peay	L	67-75	24%
Nov 25, 2019	124	@ Vanderbilt	L	59-73	11%
Dec 03, 2019	202	@ Louisiana	L	70-78	23%
Dec 18, 2019	281	@ Lamar	L	66-70	36%
Dec 21, 2019	51	Mississippi	L	61-79	6%
Dec 29, 2019	49	@ Oklahoma St.	L	56-77	3%
Jan 02, 2020	290	Stephen F. Austin	W	68-66	58%
Jan 04, 2020	291	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	61-65	38%
Jan 08, 2020	186	@ Sam Houston St.	L	62-71	23%
Jan 11, 2020	309	Nicholls St.	W	72-68	63%
Jan 15, 2020	291	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	64-62	58%
Jan 18, 2020	286	@ Abilene Christian	L	61-65	37%
Jan 22, 2020	316	McNeese St.	W	69-64	65%
Jan 25, 2020	347	@ Northwestern St.	W	68-65	60%
Jan 29, 2020	284	@ Central Arkansas	L	70-74	37%
Feb 01, 2020	243	New Orleans	L	66-67	49%
Feb 05, 2020	292	Houston Baptist	W	79-76	58%
Feb 08, 2020	344	@ Incarnate Word	W	68-65	60%
Feb 12, 2020	186	Sam Houston St.	L	65-68	40%
Feb 15, 2020	309	@ Nicholls St.	L	69-71	42%
Feb 22, 2020	286	Abilene Christian	W	64-62	57%
Feb 26, 2020	316	@ McNeese St.	L	66-67	45%
Feb 29, 2020	347	Northwestern St.	W	71-62	78%
Mar 04, 2020	284	Central Arkansas	W	73-71	57%
Mar 07, 2020	243	@ New Orleans	L	64-70	30%
Projected Record						11 - 17	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.8	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.1		6.8	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.3	2.5	2.2	1.2	0.3	0.0				7.7	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	1.6	3.4	2.4	0.7	0.2	0.0					8.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	1.5	3.6	2.4	0.7	0.1							8.4	4th
5th										0.1	1.4	3.8	2.9	0.7	0.1								9.0	5th
6th									0.1	0.9	3.7	3.3	0.6	0.1									8.7	6th
7th								0.0	0.7	3.0	3.8	1.0	0.1										8.6	7th
8th							0.0	0.5	2.6	3.7	1.3	0.1	0.0										8.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.5	2.5	3.8	1.7	0.1	0.0											8.7	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	0.5	1.9	3.3	1.9	0.3	0.0												7.9	10th
11th				0.1	0.6	2.0	2.9	1.5	0.2	0.0													7.4	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.8	1.9	1.1	0.2	0.0														6.0	12th
13th	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.2	1.0	0.5	0.1	0.0															4.0	13th

Total	0.1	0.4	0.8	2.1	3.5	4.9	6.6	8.1	9.3	9.8	10.4	10.0	8.9	8.0	6.3	4.4	3.2	1.9	0.9	0.3	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
18-2	96.1%	0.8		0.8	0.1
17-3	82.8%	1.5		1.2	0.3	0.0
16-4	57.4%	1.8		1.0	0.7	0.1	0.0
15-5	32.5%	1.4		0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	9.8%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0			0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.8%	6.8		4.1	1.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		77.0%	77.0%		13.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
19-1	0.3%		60.7%	60.7%		14.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
18-2	0.9%		45.9%	45.9%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.5
17-3	1.9%		33.3%	33.3%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	1.2
16-4	3.2%		29.7%	29.7%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	2.2
15-5	4.4%		23.2%	23.2%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.8	3.4
14-6	6.3%		15.6%	15.6%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9	5.3
13-7	8.0%		10.6%	10.6%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.8	7.2
12-8	8.9%		4.2%	4.2%		15.9																0.0	0.3	8.5
11-9	10.0%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	9.8
10-10	10.4%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
9-11	9.8%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	9.8
8-12	9.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
7-13	8.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.1
6-14	6.6%																							6.6
5-15	4.9%																							4.9
4-16	3.5%																							3.5
3-17	2.1%																							2.1
2-18	0.8%																							0.8
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.3	4.1	94.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%